Global Markets React to Yellen’s Optimistic Outlook on US Economy; Geopolitical Tensions and Anticipation of Inflation Data Drive Oil Prices Higher

Oil prices rose in early trading on Friday, as market participants reacted to statements from U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that the country’s economy may be stronger than suggested by weak first-quarter data. Brent crude futures increased by 34 cents to $89.35 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose by 33 cents to $83.90 a barrel at 1211 GMT.

Yellen mentioned to Reuters that U.S. economic growth could be stronger than indicated by the latest quarter’s data, and added that first-quarter GDP growth might be revised upwards once more data is available.

Inflation is expected to return to normal levels after several unusual factors affected the economy, leading to its weakest performance in almost two years. The Federal Reserve’s decisions regarding interest rates have also influenced oil prices, with concerns about inflation acceleration weighing on investor sentiment.

Additionally, market participants are awaiting the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for March, a key indicator closely monitored by the Fed to gauge progress toward its 2% target.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have also supported oil prices, with heightened conflicts leading to supply concerns. For example, Israel intensified airstrikes in Rafah and announced plans to evacuate civilians from the city, potentially triggering a full-blown assault despite warnings from allies about potential mass casualties.

Overall, these various factors have contributed to the rise in oil prices in early trading on Friday.